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John Reizner's Way to Wealth

« January 2009 | Main | March 2009 »

Will the U.S. Suffer an Inflation or Deflation in 2009-2010, (or Both)?

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In my article, The Credit/Debt Crisis: A Depression Era Stock Market and America's Financial Failure?, published on my website on October 10, 2008, I posited four possible scenarios regarding the outlook for our general economic future. Of those four scenarios, it may be that we are experiencing the most chaotic and potentially destructive scenario, one that may be difficult for many to envisage:

That is the third outcome posited in the article: "In this case, the deflationary forces would win the battle against Federal Reserve easing and government action, at least temporarily. In response to a deflationary calamity, the Federal Reserve may run the printing presses until an inflationary recovery could take place. Gold may do well under this chaotic scenario."

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Why the Gold Bull Market May Begin its Last Leg Sooner Than You Think

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The gold market in February 2009 is trending up towards its all time high of $1,023 per ounce made on March 18, 2008, after a correction that lasted for seven months. The price of gold in this upward trend may reach as high as $3,700. I conceive that this price move may transpire within the next two years.

As bubbles tend to repeat over history, there are a number of markets that can be instructive in determining the dollar amount and duration of a long cycle.

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