Stock Market Bull Run May Last say Two Top Performing Money Managers
Both top performing former Mutual Series Funds manager Michael Price and Dreman Value Management's David Dreman concur that rising stock prices in the coming years may present opportunity for stock market profits - if you are invested in the right stocks and if you understand the economic nature of the "recovery."
Bloomberg.com reported on September 9, 2009 that Price, who sold his Mutual Series Funds to Franklin Resources in 1996, is finding value in selected equities in today's market. He sees similarities between the 1974-1982 100% stock market rise, and today's 50% ascent from the March 2009 bottom of 6469. The 1974 market trough to which Price alluded was a once in a generation buying opportunity, when the Dow ascended from a low of 577.60.
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Stock Market Rally Supported by 20% of Consumers with Substantial Assets
The stock market continues to rise to a disbelieving chorus of many hedge fund managers who are simply along for the ride and a mostly noncommittal investing public. Readers of my blog may know that I am invested in equities, various mutual funds and ETFs, and gold and silver.
The Dow Jones futures contract on the continuation chart closed at 9733 on September 18, 2009. A 25-30% correction in the Dow would not be unwarranted, though it may occur from a higher price level. However, there is weekly chart support at the 8640 area on this contract and a daily support band between 8290-8415, either of which may act as a barrier to further decline should a correction ensue. I expect these support ranges should hold. Note: this website will soon present charts on a regular basis.
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Silver Rally: Is It Ready for Primetime?
Silver is once again garnering attention as it traded through the $17 per ounce barrier this week.
I am adding detail to my previous post that the case for a sharp increase in the price of silver may now be clearer. At the time I wrote that piece, silver had closed for the trading month of May 2009 at $15.73 per ounce on the futures continuation chart. I stated that the silver price could touch the $17 - $20 range, with the possibility of reaching the old 1980 high range of $32-$42 within one to two years in the form of a blow-off top.
In fact the price rose to a high of $16.25 shortly thereafter before going into a correction. Silver has since rebounded, reaching as high as $17.69 while closing for the week of September 25, 2009 at $16.06 on the futures continuation chart. In view of this action, where might we go from here?
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