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Can the Gold and Oil Markets Price Performance Telegraph Future U.S. Economic Conditions?

May one attempt to forecast the long term future dynamic of the economy by examining the nascent or long term price breakouts (sometimes measured in multi-decade patterns) of economically important sectors of equities or commodities such as the gold and oil markets and to project forward further significant long term price progress in the group?
 

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Creative Destruction, the Bailout and its Ultimate Costs

What can we learn from Joseph Schumpeter's idea of "creative destruction" in capitalist economies as it applies to the U.S. current economic situation? How has the Obama administration and the Federal Reserve attempted to stop the economic process of creative destruction from taking place in our economy today? How has the Great Bailout harmed our country's economic future and the worth of our currency?

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Inflation Hedge Strategies and Thoughts for 2010 and Beyond

It is widely known that government authorities across the globe are attempting to pump prime their nations' depression-racked economies by printing vast sums of paper money. Some nations, including the United States, are running trillion dollar deficits and will go deeper into debt in future years in order to finance an expansion that may not materialize as planned.

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The End of the Dollar as We Know It?

The currency markets, like most other financial markets, rise and fall partly based on international confidence in the economies, politics and monetary and taxation policies of the various nations whose paper money is traded through international exchanges.

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How to Invest in Barack Obama's "Workers Paradise"

The Obama administration may be doing everything in its power to destroy private industry jobs faster than the government can "create" them. The U.S. government itself may be the best growth industry in the U.S. as the government directs taxpayer money into the industries and pet projects of its choice.

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Why the Gold Bull Market May Begin its Last Leg Sooner Than You Think

The gold market in February 2009 is trending up towards its all time high of $1,023 per ounce made on March 18, 2008, after a correction that lasted for seven months. The price of gold in this upward trend may reach as high as $3,700. I conceive that this price move may transpire within the next two years.

As bubbles tend to repeat over history, there are a number of markets that can be instructive in determining the dollar amount and duration of a long cycle.

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Will the U.S. Suffer an Inflation or Deflation in 2009-2010, (or Both)?

In my article, The Credit/Debt Crisis: A Depression Era Stock Market and America's Financial Failure?, published on my website on October 10, 2008, I posited four possible scenarios regarding the outlook for our general economic future. Of those four scenarios, it may be that we are experiencing the most chaotic and potentially destructive scenario, one that may be difficult for many to envisage:

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Why Our Economy Will Not Prosper Until We Have Hard Money and How You Can Profit From It

What is meant by the terms "real money" or "hard money"? I associate hard money with a gold-backed currency or a consistently well managed paper money standard, both of which can protect the financial system from the many dangers of a fiat, poorly managed paper standard. We know that the main danger of a paper standard is that if too much money is printed, it becomes worth less as the value of the money is inflated away through excess supply.

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Why Long Term Investing in the Stock Market is not Dead

The stock market erosion that began in the second half of 2008 when the Dow Jones Average was slightly above 13,000, has built into a sharp and nearly relentless stock market collapse from September 2008 forward. The Dow is now trading above 8,000. A popular pundit declared on his widely viewed show on a major financial television network that long term investing is dead.

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The Credit/Debt Crisis: A Depression Era Stock Market and America's Financial Failure?

With the Dow Jones Industrial Average below 9000, we are witnessing an epic battle between the forces of a stock market crash and possible economic deflation, on the one hand, and the might of the Federal Reserve and government, on the other. We face frozen credit markets and a huge debt burden on our citizens and government that has built over decades as both citizens and the federal government have been living beyond their means.

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